A-Jay's 4th Annual Ice Out / Open Water Countdown Thread ~

[MN Fisher]

15 minutes ago, gimruis said:

 

 

[slonezp]

2 hours ago, A-Jay said:

Tomorrow will be a week PAST my predicted date.

So I'm is some type of negative time warp 

with everything in suspended animation . . . 

A-Jay 

I thought that was what retirement was. I've got 10 years before I hang it up. I want to be in suspended animation.

[J Francho]

Bizzaro World

[A-Jay]

A year ago yesterday ~ 

#morethanready

A-Jay

[TnRiver46]

On 4/13/2022 at 9:45 AM, J Francho said:

We might hit 80 today. So much for spring. 

Oh no, not you too. I thought only the blue hairs in Hardee’s said that 

[A-Jay]

Still waiting for open water ~ 

(not so patiently I might add)

 And this is Day 2 of snow flurries all day.

High temps today and into next week aren't too bad.

Haven't been over to the lake in a couple of days,

might take a peak later on. 

A-Jay

[DitchPanda]

On 4/14/2022 at 2:23 PM, TnRiver46 said:

Oh no, not you too. I thought only the blue hairs in Hardee’s said that 

Listen here you whipper snapper.

[12poundbass]

1 hour ago, A-Jay said:

Still waiting for open water ~ 

(not so patiently I might add)

 And this is Day 2 of snow flurries all day.

High temps today and into next week aren't too bad.

Haven't been over to the lake in a couple of days,

might take a peak later on. 

A-Jay

What’s the latest you’ve had ice out? 

[TnRiver46]

28 minutes ago, 12poundbass said:

What’s the latest you’ve had ice out? 

I know you didn’t ask me but……….

 

my buddy did the boundary waters trip on may 20 something once and he said some ice bergs were still floating around here and there 

[12poundbass]

20 minutes ago, TnRiver46 said:

I know you didn’t ask me but……….

 

my buddy did the boundary waters trip on may 20 something once and he said some ice bergs were still floating around here and there 

Where was this?

[MN Fisher]

3 minutes ago, 12poundbass said:

Where was this?

Boundary Waters Canoe Area (BWCA) - Minnesota/Canada border.

 

I can believe it - as I've said before, one year season opener (middle of May), we still still had ice floating in Lake Bemidji...which is only 80 miles south of the BWCA

[A-Jay]

1 hour ago, 12poundbass said:

What’s the latest you’ve had ice out? 

Latest one I can remember since 2007 is 03 May 2018 

While we got enough snow this morning to cover the ground mostly,

I think we're going to stay ahead of that one in 2022.

I certainly hope so anyway.

A-Jay

[gim]

Ice out has been declared on Lake Minnetonka as of 5:30pm yesterday, April 15.  That’s one day later than average.

 

https://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2022/04/15/ice-out-declared-on-lake-minnetonka-4/

 

My initial guess of April 5 was 9 days off. @MN Fisher predicted April 27, so he was 12 days off.

[MN Fisher]

20 minutes ago, gimruis said:

My initial guess of April 5 was 9 days off. @MN Fisher predicted April 27, so he was 12 days off.

Well the La Nina they'd predicted never bore fruit - so ya...my prediction was late based on the original climate prediction.

[gim]

6 minutes ago, MN Fisher said:

Well the La Nina they'd predicted never bore fruit - so ya...my prediction was late based on the original climate prediction.

Let the annual quest for slab crappies begin!

[MN Fisher]

1 minute ago, gimruis said:

Let the annual quest for slab crappies begin!

Gotta finish the F-9 first...unless I take a day here and there to do shore fishing.

[Smokinal]

3 hours ago, gimruis said:

Let the annual quest for slab crappies begin!

[J Francho]

Woke to Easter Bunny and snow on the ground. Go home Mother Nature, you're psychotic. 

[A-Jay]

Still waiting on open water ~

This is not helping the cause much . . . . .

Although only half over, 

this has been one miserable April weather wise . . .

A-Jay

[gim]

Most of the lakes from the Twin Cities area and south here in Minnesota are wide open now.  I drove to Brainerd for Easter and once I got to around about 50 miles north of Minneapolis, I saw some ice.  Once I got towards Brainerd, there was actually still some snow on the ground still too (mostly big piles, not everywhere).  Mille Lacs is definitely going to be May when it loses its ice.

 

@A-Jay what is the average ice out for Lake Menderchuck?

[J Francho]

Snow here tonight and tomorrow. Ugh. 

[A-Jay]

4 minutes ago, gimruis said:

Most of the lakes from the Twin Cities area and south here in Minnesota are wide open now.  I drove to Brainerd for Easter and once I got to around about 50 miles north of Minneapolis, I saw some ice.  Once I got towards Brainerd, there was actually still some snow on the ground still too (mostly big piles, not everywhere).  Mille Lacs is definitely going to be May when it loses its ice.

 

@A-Jay what is the average ice out for Lake Menderchuck?

Early would be anything in March or 1st week of April

Average is 3rd week of April, so we could be close to that in 2022.

Anything close to or into May is a little later than average.

Best bite for bigger brown bass happens within the first 3 weeks or so of open water.

Doesn't matter water the water temps are, I just need to be there.

Wind direction & speed are a huge deal during that time.

SE & SW are good if they are not to wild.

NW is the prevailing wind direction then

and I can safely fish that deal with it blowing a good bit.

Happened last spring quite a bit

A-Jay

 

[gim]

33 minutes ago, A-Jay said:

Average is 3rd week of April

I figured it was somewhere in mid to late April.

[A-Jay]

Local Lake Menderchuck this morning ~

Right before it started snowing ~ again.

A-Jay

[casts_by_fly]

Looking like May for you this year...