I hate the weatherman

[TnRiver46]

35 minutes ago, king fisher said:

It is easy to remember the times the weather service is wrong.  More difficult to remember when they are right.

   

It’s easier to remember which one happens more frequently, which is inaccuracy 

[Spankey]

Word on the street is, certain section of the river I fish near home are suppose to be 7 feet above flood stage. Flood stage is 13 feet. 
 

I guess I won’t be chasing Smallies around real soon. Mother Nature works in crazy ways. 
 

Shame Cali can’t get some of that to put fires out. 

[Bass Junke]

I don't really watch weather reports. I am my own meteorologist. I usually go on NWS or Accuweather and look at the radar myself. It is not that hard to see if rain is on the way and you will have a good idea when it will be over you.  

[TnRiver46]

13 minutes ago, Bass Junke said:

I don't really watch weather reports. I am my own meteorologist. I usually go on NWS or Accuweather and look at the radar myself. It is not that hard to see if rain is on the way and you will have a good idea when it will be over you.  

Where the radar always tricked us was paddling the marshes of the low country SC. There was no real pattern or path, just extreme heavy rain blobs popping up and disappearing everywhere. You never hear so much about flooding in that area but by golly every time we go it’s crazy storms. I think they don’t talk about the flooding so much because it happens constantly! @Kozdodged them for a long time down there 

[king fisher]

Predicting general weather over a large area can be fairly accurate depending on time of year and where you live.

    With a complete weather briefing and studding some charts myself, I would have great confidence in an accurate assessment 24 hrs in advance in non mountainous terrain, in winter. Add summertime temps. mountains, and large bodies of water, and accuracy goes way down.

     Predicting weather for small specific locations is even more difficult and inaccurate.  I spent many years hang gliding.  Predicting the weather for flying in Southern CA in the winter was good but I  still spent many days sitting at launch hang waiting instead of hang gliding.  Arrow towing in central Florida was a different story.  We would all be sure the next day would be epic.  Some days the weatherman was right, but many days he wasn't. The thermals made by the sun heating  the ground we depended on for flying would start about noon.  Some days they would cause clouds to over develop blocking the sun making for short flights.  Some days they would develop in to thunderstorms which of course  would be deadly, other days we flew for hours.

     The weather man would predict morning sunshine with clouds in the afternoon, with possibility of thundershowers in the afternoon, winds from light in the morning to 10 -30 mph in the afternoon.

      Those predictions were 90% correct.  Problem was the difference between 10 mph winds, and 30 mph winds in a hang glider are significant.

      Fishing is no different.  Sunny skies with a possibility of afternoon thunder storms can be a great day of fishing unless you happen to be in the middle of an afternoon thunderstorm.

      How accurate the weather man is depends a lot on what your expectations of accuracy are.  Some places in the country are so difficult you could use a dart board to predict the weather.      

     

[Spankey]

55 minutes ago, Spankey said:

Word on the street is, certain section of the river I fish near home are suppose to be 7 feet above flood stage. Flood stage is 13 feet. 
 

I guess I won’t be chasing Smallies around real soon. Mother Nature works in crazy ways. 
 

Shame Cali can’t get some of that to put fires out. 

I’d have to see it to believe it. Sounds a little over the top. Buddy said he got a message from his township. Twp. for the most part can’t even put out the calendar of events for the upcoming month let alone put out a warning. Tomorrow morning will tell. 

[gim]

As long as we're talking about weather, what do people use for a weather app on their phones?  I use The Weather Channel app but I'm thinking of switching to something better.

[NHBull]

Some are better than others

....and all things being equal ?

 

[Koz]

2 hours ago, TnRiver46 said:

Where the radar always tricked us was paddling the marshes of the low country SC. There was no real pattern or path, just extreme heavy rain blobs popping up and disappearing everywhere. You never hear so much about flooding in that area but by golly every time we go it’s crazy storms. I think they don’t talk about the flooding so much because it happens constantly! @Kozdodged them for a long time down there 

When I used to play golf a lot, I remember almost every afternoon the lightning sirens would go off, we'd take cover, and it would storm like crazy for 20 or 30 minutes. Then the skies would clear, it would be sunny and hot, and we'd pick up where we left off on the course.

[GaryH]

24 minutes ago, gimruis said:

As long as we're talking about weather, what do people use for a weather app on their phones?  I use The Weather Channel app but I'm thinking of switching to something better.

Accuweather and weather channel. Funny how their predictions are so different sometimes.

[Catt]

50 minutes ago, gimruis said:

what do people use for a weather app on their phones?

 

I watch the Doppler Radar at our local airport & I watch the sky. I watch local weathermen for trends. 

[T-Billy]

47 minutes ago, NHBull said:

Some are better than others

....and all things being equal ?

 

Looks SSSsssmokin hot from Mexico all the way up into Idaho and Montana!!!

[TnRiver46]

10 minutes ago, T-Billy said:

Looks SSSsssmokin hot from Mexico all the way up into Idaho and Montana!!!

^mark as solution hahahaha

[islandbass]

9 hours ago, Mobasser said:

My dad used to say, " A weatherman is one job where you can be wrong much of the time, and still not get fired".

That’s good, but you’ve probably been told as I have, that such failures in real life would get you fired. And back in school, it didn’t pay to get Fs, right? I mean who would pay someone for failing?

 

Well there is one occupation where they’ll pay you millions to be a failure. An MLB hitter, lol. Talk about getting “paid” to “fail,” lol. Strictly of course on percentage. A batter with a 300 avg (hitting the ball 30% of the time) gets paid a lot but poor little Jimmy gets a 30% on a test and receives no money and a big, fat F. 
 

My son in his one and only year playing in the majors, was placed 9th in the line up. Within the first 5 games, his batting average was 486. I can’t believe they were keeping stats on kids! I know the coach noticed it and moved him to lead off hitter for the rest of the season. He was a natural hitter as I was but he didn’t have my power (lol) and was similar to Ichiro nailing singles, doubles and the occasional triple. 

When he told me he didn’t want to play baseball after the season ended (he ended at .453 for the season and playoffs) I tried to convince him otherwise to continue playing by telling him this, but it wasn’t enough to convince him. He discovered basketball. 

 

So I’d add MLB hitters to the list with horoscope tellers and meteorologists, lol. I suppose we can add pundits too. ?

[Sphynx]

6 minutes ago, islandbass said:

That’s good, but you’ve probably been told as I have, that such failures in real life would get you fired. And back in school, it didn’t pay to get Fs, right? I mean who would pay someone for failing?

 

Well there is one occupation where they’ll pay you millions to be a failure. An MLB hitter, lol. Talk about getting “paid” to “fail,” lol. Strictly of course on percentage. A batter with a 300 avg (hitting the ball 30% of the time) gets paid a lot but poor little Jimmy gets a 30% on a test and receives no money and a big, fat F. 
 

My son in his one and only year playing in the majors, was placed 9th in the line up. Within the first 5 games, his batting average was 486. I can’t believe they were keeping stats on kids! I know the coach noticed it and moved him to lead off hitter for the rest of the season. He was a natural hitter as I was but he didn’t have my power (lol) and was similar to Ichiro nailing singles, doubles and the occasional triple. 

When he told me he didn’t want to play baseball after the season ended (he ended at .453 for the season and playoffs) I tried to convince him otherwise to continue playing by telling him this, but it wasn’t enough to convince him. He discovered basketball. 

 

So I’d add MLB hitters to the list with horoscope tellers and meteorologists, lol. I suppose we can add pundits too. ?

Surely you don't mean he walked away from the majors...you must mean little league or high school or something right? Interestingly enough not only is baseball so hard that the very best players succeed only about 25-30% of the time, it is also the only sport I know of where the defense controls the ball, it's certainly an interesting sport.

 

I see a lot of people seem to focus mainly on the radar aspect of the weather, to me the precipitation and temperatures are far less interesting than wind and such, which is not something that shows up very well on a radar.

[Darth-Baiter]

I use NOAA.  So I’m the weatherman:)

 

I do like me some Mexican channel weather women tho.  

[islandbass]

10 minutes ago, Sphynx said:

Surely you don't mean he walked away from the majors...you must mean little league or high school or something right? Interestingly enough not only is baseball so hard that the very best players succeed only about 25-30% of the time, it is also the only sport I know of where the defense controls the ball, it's certainly an interesting sport.

 

I see a lot of people seem to focus mainly on the radar aspect of the weather, to me the precipitation and temperatures are far less interesting than wind and such, which is not something that shows up very well on a radar.

Yes!! Major little league. I just made the assumption folks understood ?   

[Bankbeater]

I keep a rainsuit in the car year round.  When I'm going fishing the only thing watch the weather for is the expected high temp so I know how much water to bring.

When I'm on the water I watch the sky, and if that changes I check the radar on my phone app.

[N Florida Mike]

They are wrong the most with the wind prediction… Its usually wrong every time it matters anyway… 

 

[Sam]

Sphynx, here is the low down on the TV and radio weather reporters.

 

They have to error on the side of the worst weather as people will complain if they say it will be a nice day and they get rained on.

 

They also use the American model for forecasting hurricanes, as it is safe, but the good weather people know the British model is far superior and they will give you both model's computer computations, etc. They can't be blamed if their NWC data is flawed as it is the American model and used throughout the USA.

 

In Virginia we go to WxRisk.com on Facebook and follow Dave. He is a professional weather man and he gets it right 99.9% of the time, even to the location of where hurricanes will hit land.

 

You can find DH Rett on Facebook and see his weather reports, too.

 

[newbiedmv]

I drove I 10 from Mobile to Tallahassee. Every single tree was either broken off 20 feet up on all laid on the ground like a meteor hit. Big I beam signs were twisted into unimaginable pretzels . Semi's wrapped up in signs and trees.

People at the rest stops said it was due to a hurricane 2 to 3 years ago. This was spring of 2019.... you all can keep that crappie. First and last time in western FL.

I hate this sites drunk leprechaun  doing spell check.

[TnRiver46]

1 hour ago, Sam said:

Sphynx, here is the low down on the TV and radio weather reporters.

 

They have to error on the side of the worst weather as people will complain if they say it will be a nice day and they get rained on.

 

They also use the American model for forecasting hurricanes, as it is safe, but the good weather people know the British model is far superior and they will give you both model's computer computations, etc. They can't be blamed if their NWC data is flawed as it is the American model and used throughout the USA.

 

In Virginia we go to WxRisk.com on Facebook and follow Dave. He is a professional weather man and he gets it right 99.9% of the time, even to the location of where hurricanes will hit land.

 

You can find DH Rett on Facebook and see his weather reports, too.

 

How did I forget that @Sam is more accurate than any television weather personality? Seriously I think you are usually about two steps ahead of most anyone 

[Sphynx]

2 hours ago, Sam said:

Sphynx, here is the low down on the TV and radio weather reporters.

 

They have to error on the side of the worst weather as people will complain if they say it will be a nice day and they get rained on.

 

They also use the American model for forecasting hurricanes, as it is safe, but the good weather people know the British model is far superior and they will give you both model's computer computations, etc. They can't be blamed if their NWC data is flawed as it is the American model and used throughout the USA.

 

In Virginia we go to WxRisk.com on Facebook and follow Dave. He is a professional weather man and he gets it right 99.9% of the time, even to the location of where hurricanes will hit land.

 

You can find DH Rett on Facebook and see his weather reports, too.

 

I wholly agree with a corporate strategy of CYA in most respects, but it sure would be nice to find a place I could get predictive wind speeds in the Gorge out here, it can get pretty wild

[throttleplate]

5 hours ago, T-Billy said:

Looks SSSsssmokin hot from Mexico all the way up into Idaho and Montana!!!

i see dark storm clouds over the rocky mountains.

[Sam]

7 hours ago, TnRiver46 said:

How did I forget that @Sam is more accurate than any television weather personality? Seriously I think you are usually about two steps ahead of most anyone 

No, not me.

Raider. Raider is usually a few steps ahead of everyone else, although sometimes the steps are a little crooked.