Can bass tell what day of the week it is?

[MN Fisher]

13 minutes ago, Ratherbfishing said:

The conspiracy doesn't begin or end with the bass.  It is also mother nature.  Any hint that I might be planning a trip and mother nature will muster up either a major cold front OR a hurricane (which is quite a feat since I live in the heart of the U.S.).  That it correlate with the weekend is because that's when I usually have off.  I try to stay one step ahead of mother nature by taking off Friday's but she'll kick up a small tornado if she feels rushed.

Sounds like my schedule. I have to plan my trips a week in advance, and about 1/3 of the time I can't make the trip because of wind and/or rain...a canoe is not something to go out in when it's blowing 15-20mph with gusts to 35. So I haven't had as many trips out as I'd like.

[Wizzlebiz]

3 hours ago, MN Fisher said:

Sounds like my schedule. I have to plan my trips a week in advance, and about 1/3 of the time I can't make the trip because of wind and/or rain...a canoe is not something to go out in when it's blowing 15-20mph with gusts to 35. So I haven't had as many trips out as I'd like.

Although a canoe is not the right choice cant you beat the bank instead to keep the trip together? 

[MN Fisher]

3 minutes ago, Wizzlebiz said:

Although a canoe is not the right choice cant you beat the bank instead to keep the trip together? 

If there was enough bank not already occupied...or not a mile or so away from any parking. The local cities around Minnetonka have instituted 'No Parking Anytime' near most designated shore fishing spots. Those places that are accessible are usually shoulder-to-shoulder.

[Wizzlebiz]

1 minute ago, MN Fisher said:

If there was enough bank not already occupied...or not a mile or so away from any parking. The local cities around Minnetonka have instituted 'No Parking Anytime' near most designated shore fishing spots. Those places that are accessible are usually shoulder-to-shoulder.

Wow. Totally different here in Northern California.  Generally im the only one on the bank. 

[txchaser]

8 hours ago, Tennessee Boy said:

Also,  there are times when his number’s don’t make sense to me.  In the article you link to on wind,  the table showing the percentage of time the condition exists does not add up to 100%.

@jpurdue ??

[jpurdue]

On 9/30/2019 at 11:25 AM, Tennessee Boy said:

Very well said.  We think a lot alike. 
 

I also recommend Alwine’s book.  It’s a good attempt to accurately interpret a large dataset of fishing result.   My only criticism is I wish he went into more detail on where he got his data and how he interpreted them.  Also,  there are times when his number’s don’t make sense to me.  In the article you link to on wind,  the table showing the percentage of time the condition exists does not add up to 100%.   Same table is in the book.  How hard is the wind blowing the other 23% of the time?  The only values left are negative numbers.   I’m sure it’s a typo but it kind of kills the whole argument. 

Hey guys.  Josh Alwine, author of High Percentage Fishing here.  Sorry I'm always late to these parties.  Anyway, great discussion.

 

1.  The day of the week absolutely matters on pressured bodies of water.  My data showed that your expected catches per hour is three times higher on a Wednesday than a Saturday.  I'm not sure if this is because of extra boat noise on the weekended, decreased ability to fish effectively (best spots are taken and repeated hammered), or if it's just the sheer number of lures flying by the fish.  My data of course doesn't determine the causal factor, but it did consistently show that "people pressure" mattered far more than any sort of weather condition.

2.  Txchaser, I love your summary in points 1-4.  I couldn't have said it better myself.  Hopefully we start seeing more and more data emerge in the coming years.  Right now the real problem is so little reliable data exists. 

3.  In regards to wind.  Great question here.  I wrote High Percentage fishing almost 4 years ago now.  I self published the book with zero professional help of any sort.  As such there are a few typos in it.  My apologies here.  When I published the book, I told my wife I hoped it would sell 20 copies!  I think it's been the best selling pure bass fishing book in America since I published it!  Anyway, back to the question.  I had to go back in my old excel files to figure this one out.  Two reasons the data doesn't add up to 100%.  1.  In the weather data I gathered wind speed is sometimes recorded as variable.  I ignored this data.  I also capped the wind speed at 25mph I think.  So that last column should really read 15-25mph.  I figured with wind speeds above 25mph fishing becomes unsafe or impractical so I ignored that data as well.  The key point is catch rates go up with wind speed.  It helps increase oxygen levels, reduces light levels (gives predictors the upper hand), help conceal anglers etc...  Hopefully that helps!

 

Glad to hear you guys enjoyed the books.  It's the best compliment an author can get!