Daimien's Hurricane Projection

[Fishing_FF]

11 hours ago, Glenn said:

It's also happened to Sam a few times in this thread, but he didn't assume he was being censored. 

 

 Again, I know it's a hassle, so I appreciate your patience.

 

I didn't assume. I know I'm a screw up, on here just as much as I am in real life. 

 

If I encounter the bug again, I'll just leave the post as is so it can be approved. Thanks for the info.

 

 

Back to the topic of this thread, Dorian has slowed yet again. Now forecasting a Tuesday morning land. Geeze, turtle!

[greentrout]

if path holds ... looks like it might do a number on lake okeechobee ... cat 4 ... wow ... 

[Sam]

21 hours ago, Fishing_FF said:

There was a website listed on the news last night for parents with students at UCF. Unfortunately, the site won't let me put the link here. It hides the post. Try typing "UCF Hurriance Dorian" in Google or go to the Orlando news station "ClickOrlando" for the story with the links. 

Thanks. i passed your message to her mother in Clymer, Pennsylvania, outside of Indiana, PA.

21 hours ago, J Francho said:

https://www.ucf.edu/news/ucf-monitoring-tropical-storm-dorian/

Thanks a million, J.

 

I forwarded the web site to her mother.

 

This is her first hurricane. Hopefully she will remain on campus where it is safe.

 

Appreciate the input.

[SC53]

Sam, she should be fine at UCF.  It’s a big campus with all concrete construction.  Probably have to suffer though without power for some time but we all will be. 

[N Florida Mike]

Well now it looks like it may go up the east coast of Florida in a similar track to Matthew. It is predicted to be a slow mover which would potentially devastate the coastline again. The hopeful scenario would be that it misses land completely ( including the Carolinas) . My cousin in coastal NC just got her roof fixed from last years direct hit there, so hopefully she won’t have this one to deal with.

For me, it’s looking like a very slow work week. ( Very few people are wanting to buy what Im selling until the hurricane is past?) But with loss of life and property for Floridians looming I can’t focus too much on my  next check. The experts are saying that maybe if it slows down enough it will have a window to escape open up and thus miss FL. ?.( and hopefully miss the Carolinas as well)

@Fishing_FF I like your Turtle analogy. That pretty much sums up our situation, doesn’t it?

[Mike L]

29 minutes ago, N Florida Mike said:

 

@Fishing_FF I like your Turtle analogy. That pretty much sums up our situation, doesn’t it?

This ones got teeth!

 

 

 

 

Mike

[Fishing_FF]

3 hours ago, N Florida Mike said:

Well now it looks like it may go up the east coast of Florida in a similar track to Matthew. It is predicted to be a slow mover which would potentially devastate the coastline again. The hopeful scenario would be that it misses land completely ( including the Carolinas) . My cousin in coastal NC just got her roof fixed from last years direct hit there, so hopefully she won’t have this one to deal with.

For me, it’s looking like a very slow work week. ( Very few people are wanting to buy what Im selling until the hurricane is past?) But with loss of life and property for Floridians looming I can’t focus too much on my  next check. The experts are saying that maybe if it slows down enough it will have a window to escape open up and thus miss FL. ?.( and hopefully miss the Carolinas as well)

@Fishing_FF I like your Turtle analogy. That pretty much sums up our situation, doesn’t it?

 

Same boat here. Just waiting to hear if and when I have to report to the station. 

 

3 hours ago, Mike L said:

This ones got teeth!

Alligator snapping turtle, slow but one heck of a bite. 

 

Looks like the focus is shifting from Florida to possibly Georgia and Carolinas. It continues to be a waiting game. 

[Dwight Hottle]

Looks a lot better for FL today than previously. 

[greentrout]

LIVE: Hurricane Dorian closes in on Bahamas with 220-mph wind gusts

By Chaffin Mitchell, AccuWeather staff writer

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/live-hurricane-dorian-closes-in-on-bahamas-with-160-mph-winds/70009223

 

Hurricane Dorian Making Catastrophic Strike as a Category 5 in Northwest Bahamas; Hurricane Watches Issued in Florida

By weather.com meteorologists less than an hour ago weather.com

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2019-09-01-hurricane-dorian-category-5-near-bahamas-florida-georgia-carolinas

 

cat. 5 ... 

[Chris at Tech]

Evac orders for my parents in Hilton Head starting tomorrow.  This is gonna be interesting...

[A-Jay]

2 hours ago, Chris at Tech said:

Evac orders for my parents in Hilton Head starting tomorrow.  This is gonna be interesting...

Hope everybody can stay safe my friend.

A-Jay

[geo g]

They all say this thing is going to make a turn to the north off the Florida east coast.  If it continues straight it has a direct bead on my home, with 180 MPH winds.  Please make a turn soon.

[Hammer 4]

3 minutes ago, geo g said:

They all say this thing is going to make a turn to the north off the Florida east coast.  If it continues straight it has a direct bead on my home, with 180 MPH winds.  Please make a turn soon.

 

I'm sure I can say for all of us, that we Hope it doesn't head toward you, or anyone else. Keep us posted..

[Mike L]

Ok Boys Mrs Mike and I are out of here before they close the bridges. 

We're under a mandatory evacuation order. 

I just hope this thing is still upright when we get back. 

 

I pray that you and your families stay safe. 

 

 

 

 

 

Mike

[Fishing_FF]

5 hours ago, geo g said:

They all say this thing is going to make a turn to the north off the Florida east coast.  If it continues straight it has a direct bead on my home, with 180 MPH winds.  Please make a turn soon.

 

Yes, Dorian is due east of my family that lives in South Florida. They chose to stay, so like you, they are hoping for the turn. He's barely moving (west @ 1PMH) which hopefully means the turn will be soon. 

 

1 hour ago, Mike L said:

Ok Boys Mrs Mike and I are out of here before they close the bridges. 

We're under a mandatory evacuation order. 

I just hope this thing is still upright when we get back. 

 

I pray that you and your families stay safe. 

 

Mike

 

Take care @Mike Land drive safe! If you need anything afterwards, just let me know. I've got to report to the station soon, so completing the final house preps for my wife and kids. 

[Chris at Tech]

12 hours ago, A-Jay said:

Hope everybody can stay safe my friend.

A-Jay

Thanks bud.  My parents were EXTRAORDINARILY lucky during Matthew -- the only damage they had was a few hardwood floorboards in the kitchen after the freezer melted and leaked.  A few hundred yards in any other direction was a very different result.  Hope that luck continues for them.

[Sam]

13 hours ago, geo g said:

They all say this thing is going to make a turn to the north off the Florida east coast.  If it continues straight it has a direct bead on my home, with 180 MPH winds.  Please make a turn soon.

According to Dave at WXrisk.com, the storm will turn north on Tuesday and head up the coast.

[geo g]

I'll feel better when she starts to move north.  If it doesn't turn and goes straight it's through my hood!

 

8 hours ago, Mike L said:

Ok Boys Mrs Mike and I are out of here before they close the bridges. 

We're under a mandatory evacuation order. 

I just hope this thing is still upright when we get back. 

 

I pray that you and your families stay safe. 

 

 

 

 

 

Mike

Same to you my friend!

 

[reb67]

I'm starting to get a little nervous my daughter lives in Vero Beach they got everything boarded up and strapped down yesterday.

This is going to be their first hurricane since they moved there.

She said if they get mandatory evacuated they're going to head to the West Coast to Venice where my brother lives hope she doesn't wait too late.

[Sam]

16 minutes ago, reb67 said:

I'm starting to get a little nervous my daughter lives in Vero Beach they got everything boarded up and strapped down yesterday.

This is going to be their first hurricane since they moved there.

She said if they get mandatory evacuated they're going to head to the West Coast to Venice where my brother lives hope she doesn't wait too late.

Richard, tell her to go now.

 

Dave at WXrisk.com says the storm will start moving north on Tuesday.

 

She and her family can get ahead of the curve on the highway before everyone starts to run.

 

Be sure to let us know she and her family are OK.

[reb67]

10 minutes ago, Sam said:

Richard, tell her to go now.

 

Dave at WXrisk.com says the storm will start moving north on Tuesday.

 

She and her family can get ahead of the curve on the highway before everyone starts to run.

 

Be sure to let us know she and her family are OK.

I am  talking to her right now trying to get them to to head west with the dog and the 4 cats. She said they are going to make the decision in the morning, nothing like waiting for the last minute.

[Koz]

I recently moved away from the Hilton Head SC / Savannah GA area to the Greenville SC area but my hurricane troubles are not over. My father was hospitalized last week down in Bluffton SC and with the mandatory evacuation they moved him today. Meanwhile, I made the 4 hour drive to Bluffton to bring my stepmother up here since she does not drive much anymore.

 

The drive back took over 6 hours instead of the usual 4 hours and that made for a very, very long day. And once the hurricane passes in a few days I'll get to do it all over again. With my dad being ill I've been making this trip once or twice a week. I've got to say all of this driving is tiring. There's no way I could drive for a living.

 

 

[jbsoonerfan]

Good luck! You guys get 4 days notice to take action. We are lucky to get 10 min for a tornado.

[heyitskirby]

9 hours ago, Koz said:

I recently moved away from the Hilton Head SC / Savannah GA area to the Greenville SC area but my hurricane troubles are not over. My father was hospitalized last week down in Bluffton SC and with the mandatory evacuation they moved him today. Meanwhile, I made the 4 hour drive to Bluffton to bring my stepmother up here since she does not drive much anymore.

 

The drive back took over 6 hours instead of the usual 4 hours and that made for a very, very long day. And once the hurricane passes in a few days I'll get to do it all over again. With my dad being ill I've been making this trip once or twice a week. I've got to say all of this driving is tiring. There's no way I could drive for a living.

 

 

Just to give you all an idea of how far the traffic mess will stretch - when Matthew went up the east coast a couple of years ago I was working on a project in VA on NB I-95 in southern VA.  We were putting out lane closures at night and would get 2 - 3 mile backups all night on a stretch of 95 where traffic is extremely light at night (this is rural VA).  Most of the plates were from Florida.  

[SC53]

Looks like it just started to turn north.

If you’ve seen any videos of the Bahamas you know what this thing is capable of.  The storm surge was unbelievable.  One video by an official showed the water, not just waves but solid water, half way up his window and he was on the second floor of his house, 15 feet up!