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  • Super User
Posted

The joy of the fantasy fishing is you can pick whoever you want. It's your fantasy. Live it. 

 

If you want to pick your favorite angler from each bucket because you like their personality or sponsors, do it. 

 

If you want to research articles on Bassmaster.com, do it. 

 

If you want to research past tournaments on the lake and how anglers did, do it. 

 

If you want to research the type of lake/river, water clarity, what stage the fish are in, how they're caught, etc. then pick the anglers who excel in those situations, do it. 

 

So many things can happen on any given weekend on the water. Some lakes cater to shallow water fishermen, others to deep water, some to sight fishing, some to graph reading, some to docks, some to open water, some to flipping, some to cranking. Some guys have won a tournament on a lake last time there, and don't even make the cut the next time around. Last year a certain someone didn't even finish top 100 on Okeechobee and he went on to win AOY.

  • Like 6
  • Super User
Posted

I got a question. This is the 1st year I'm playing on 2 FF leagues. BR and TW. Can I set up two lineups or does the lineup I pick for one league have to be the same for the other league? 

  • Super User
Posted
54 minutes ago, Gundog said:

I got a question. This is the 1st year I'm playing on 2 FF leagues. BR and TW. Can I set up two lineups or does the lineup I pick for one league have to be the same for the other league? 

Yes, but you'll need to have two different log in accounts. I have one Bassmaster FF account, and I play two leagues with my lineup.

  • Thanks 1
  • Super User
Posted

I've never really been that into FLW as an organization or their fantasy fishing. I find the website is annoying and 10% of the anglers dominate 90% of the competition (okay, maybe not quite that bad but you probably know what I'm talking about.) 

 

If you're looking for strategies when picking a roster, considering the following: 

-Styles of fishing used at the venue for this time of year (Lake Martin is gonna be jigs, jerk baits, and shakeyheads most likely. That's the only free advice I'll give you) 
-People who are good at these styles of fishing. 

-People who have home advantage at the lake or similar lakes (which doesn't always help and is a gamble) 
-People with a proven track record of consistently ranking in the top 50 
-People who don't have a high ownership 

 

If you can find someone who completes all of these things, then that's probably about as close as you're going to get to a "safe" bet. 

 

I don't always include all of those factors, but they cross my mind for each player. Sometimes I rely heavily on previous experience and dig up old tournaments held on the lake. I've even gone so far as to go through the entire tournament history of each angler in each roster and look at their performance on a particular lake/region. But sometimes it hurts you to rely heavily on stats and history. That's when you need a good feel for the people who are going to be in the AOY race, the people who are fishing out of their mind. Jump on their train before they blow up and you'll be rewarded. Other times you pick a star studded player on their home lake and end up in the 90s or 100s. That's the name of the game. 

 

Fantasy fishing is a lot of percentages, a lot of guesswork, a lot of snubs or blessings from Lady Luck, but most of all a lot of fun ;)

  • Thanks 1
  • Super User
Posted

For the last two years I did an analysis ahead of each event, using statistics I could find, like overall angler career success, lake history, how far the angler lived from the lake, recent success, pundit picks, and such, to see what sorts of information predicted fantasy points week-to-week, and and by how much. 

 

What I found was that none of these things were very predictive at all. Only two variables I looked at were significant predictors most weeks, and they did not account for much:

 

(1) an average of the percent of total career events with top 10 finishes and top 20 finishes (A crude measure of overall career success) -- anglers with a better history of high finishes tend to net more fantasy points.  If you think that sounds stupidly obvious...well, you're right. And much of this is already baked into the buckets.

 

(2) fantasy ownership percentage -- the more fantasy owners who pick the angler, the more points they tend to earn. Of course, the more popular your team members are, the less you stand out in competition.

 

The Pundit picks, on the other hand, contributed nothing at all -- you could outperform the pundits pretty often just by taking the guy in each bucket with the highest ownership percentage.

 

In other words, there is no silver bullet. I haven't figured out a way to quantify things like "style of fishing" or "prior success on similar lakes", but I can at least say with confidence that there is no obvious set of easily-defined factors to point to that give a clear edge. 

Posted

I'm in! :)

Posted

 

On 1/10/2018 at 4:22 PM, Glenn said:

 

On 1/10/2018 at 4:22 PM, Glenn said:

In case you weren't aware, Circuit City closed in 2009.  :)

 

Heck I thought they closed longer ago than that...lol. Haven't heard that name in quite some time. Since they are closed does that mean it'll be a BPS gift card? Lol ? 

 

I'm new to this so how does it work? The fantasy fishing league that is.

  • Global Moderator
Posted
5 hours ago, MichaelCopeland said:

 

Heck I thought they closed longer ago than that...lol. Haven't heard that name in quite some time. Since they are closed does that mean it'll be a BPS gift card? Lol ? 

 

I'm new to this so how does it work? The fantasy fishing league that is.

Have you signed up at Bassmaster.com? 

Posted
4 hours ago, 12poundbass said:

Have you signed up at Bassmaster.com? 

Not yet. Hopefully be able to do that today some time. Got alot going on this weekend.

  • Global Moderator
Posted
39 minutes ago, MichaelCopeland said:

Not yet. Hopefully be able to do that today some time. Got alot going on this weekend.

Ok. 

1 sign up at Bassmaster.com

2 set your team

3 go to join group, then find our group enter password and you're in! Pretty easy, if you have any problems just ask and one of us will be able to help.

  • Thanks 1
Posted
On 1/26/2018 at 10:47 AM, 12poundbass said:

Ok. 

1 sign up at Bassmaster.com

2 set your team

3 go to join group, then find our group enter password and you're in! Pretty easy, if you have any problems just ask and one of us will be able to help.

Ok I signed up. I'm Bassassin13 in our group. My picks are as follows:

A. Mark Daniels (I've met him and he's a real nice guy)

B. Jonathon VanDam

C. Marty Robinson

D. Cliff Crochet

E. Caleb Sumrall 

Good luck everyone! ?

  • Like 3
Posted

Any chance as a collective group for those that would want to participate in donating as little as one fishing item to a pot for a winner take all? If so it wouldn’t be mandatory by any means, but the only kicker would be that the winner posts a pic or two of their loot. @fishballer06 would you be willing to take the donations and hold them until the end?

  • Like 1
Posted

Being new to this I have a few questions. Are these tournaments televised? If so, what channel? Otherwise, how do I keep up with the stats?

Posted

There's been a change to my lineup. Jonathon VanDam was replaced by Randy Howell and Caleb Sumrall was replaced by Wesley Strader. I've been watching MLF on the Outdoor channel. Howell and Strader are fun to watch.

  • Global Moderator
Posted
6 hours ago, Porkrind said:

Any chance as a collective group for those that would want to participate in donating as little as one fishing item to a pot for a winner take all? If so it wouldn’t be mandatory by any means, but the only kicker would be that the winner posts a pic or two of their loot. @fishballer06 would you be willing to take the donations and hold them until the end?

The idea came up last year about doing it this year and it's gambling so that's a no go. 

  • Like 1
Posted
10 hours ago, MichaelCopeland said:

Being new to this I have a few questions. Are these tournaments televised? If so, what channel? Otherwise, how do I keep up with the stats?

They're televised, but I don't think live. A couple months later I think, but I'm probably wrong.  You can go to bassmaster.com and watch it live there, read the basstrak weight estimates throughout the day, and your team is automatically updated with the poi ts and standings at the end of each tournament day.

  • Thanks 1
Posted

Sorry for bringing it up, I guess I’ve never thought about it as gambling since it isn’t a requirement for each player to donate. Rules are rules and I understand that.

  • Global Moderator
Posted
12 minutes ago, Porkrind said:

Sorry for bringing it up, I guess I’ve never thought about it as gambling since it isn’t a requirement for each player to donate. Rules are rules and I understand that.

No need to be sorry. 

Posted

I have one more question involving the tie breaker. What's an example of a reasonable guesstimation for a total weight for an event? Not asking what y'all put for yours. I've never done this before and I don't want to guess too high or too low.

  • Super User
Posted

 

22 minutes ago, MichaelCopeland said:

I have one more question involving the tie breaker. What's an example of a reasonable guesstimation for a total weight for an event? Not asking what y'all put for yours. I've never done this before and I don't want to guess too high or too low.

I look at previous weights from tourneys on the same water  , them make a guess .

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
  • Super User
Posted
On 1/28/2018 at 11:48 PM, Porkrind said:

Any chance as a collective group for those that would want to participate in donating as little as one fishing item to a pot for a winner take all? If so it wouldn’t be mandatory by any means, but the only kicker would be that the winner posts a pic or two of their loot. @fishballer06 would you be willing to take the donations and hold them until the end?

 

On 1/29/2018 at 6:24 AM, 12poundbass said:

The idea came up last year about doing it this year and it's gambling so that's a no go. 

As stated, its against the website rules and I feel it would add too much competition. There's a reason why we have 65 members and growing in this group and I feel it's because everyone likes the laid back atmosphere and shooting the bull with everyone on here. 

 

I'm still working with the moderators trying to get them to kick in some gift cards. We've been discussing places like Circuit City, Ames, Blockbuster, and HH Gregg. 

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Posted
36 minutes ago, fishballer06 said:

I'm still working with the moderators trying to get them to kick in some gift cards. We've been discussing places like Circuit City, Ames, Blockbuster, and HH Gregg. 

Ask them about those $500 Gander Mountain Gift cards, I'm sure they could donate a few!!

  • Haha 1

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