jhoffman Posted September 1, 2015 Posted September 1, 2015 NONE of you thats who! I thought I had FLW fantasy fishing won mid season, i missed first place just shy of 400 points due two bad mid season events. 11th overall in the world, 1st in the strike king league, 5th in the other big league. When that TW package shows up I might have a heart attack! Standings were due to post last thursday and ive been on the edge of my seat, I even went as far as calculation of points on my own. My math was right that I wouldnt make the big cut but I was right in my other calculations. Do I get to alter my signiture for the year and rub it in as I know most of you are in the SK league? 1 Quote
jhoffman Posted September 1, 2015 Author Posted September 1, 2015 Thank you Fin. I waivered mid season when guys I expected to do well did really bad, it cost me winning it overall. It changes so much season to season that you cant expect a guy who did well last year to do well. You have to watch every thing and even then its a wild stab in the dark. Really, a lot boils down to luck. Ill take the soothe over not doing well in my own tournaments this season. Quote
Super User Senko lover Posted September 1, 2015 Super User Posted September 1, 2015 I'm a fantasy nut, I even make spreadsheets and such with angler's performances and strength. It's been a decent year for me, also my first year following B.A.S.S. (and fantasy fishing!). Just curious, do you just pick your instincts, or do you do a lot of research? I found that my better events are with instincts. This next year, I think I'm going to start F.L.W. fantasy as well. And what do you get in the Strike King package? Quote
jhoffman Posted September 1, 2015 Author Posted September 1, 2015 I have no idea if I get anything from strike king or not. Havent been contacted by them. I sure hope its not nothing, I fish more SK baits than anything else. Ive watched every year of flw for the last five years, so i know who to keep an eye on. Guys like Andy Morgan or Brian Thrift who have been top 10 AOY for like 8 years in a row, you cant ever count them out. Whos the newer guys doing well, whats the current fishing conditions on the lake theyre at and what are certain anglers strengths. I weight top ten finishes and avg finish then based on whos strengths should fish, also keeping in mind whos leading AOY currently. The numbers can at times be misleading, guys whove been at it for years can be weighted very heavy but not be doing well in recent years. Once I narrow down my top ten once, ill go back and inspect the angler individual against that body of water and see his record on that lake recently (again this doesnt always work). You can see guys who are fishing a lot on the same lake that are locals and tell they will sometimes do very well. The numbers also are misleading in that they are not all relative to the tour, they count sub tours too. Soo the short answer is yes, I did A LOT of looking into each event. I did so much I never focused much as much on the Bass events as I dont know the angler strengths as well. I also missed the first three BASS events and knew id never be in the mix this season. At one point this season in FLW after bombing the first tournament I was 3rd overall in the world and I thought I had a great chance to win it all.Then I had two back to back very bad tournaments where the research above was wrong and guys who are VERY good did bad. That dropped me to 44th and 10th in the TW standings. My cup picks brought me back out of the hole. One other thing I do is try to balance my team since FLW works on a limited budget format. In the early years you could stack your deck with all the best anglers. Funny, I didnt do well then. I try to keep my overall team average pretty high without having a lot of guys that cost less due to their ranks. BUT those bottom guys sometimes do VERY well too, Brandon Cobb had a phenominal year and was undervalued for a long time, so was Zach Birge. So if you werent paying attention to the current season and keeping tabs, they flew under the radar. 1 Quote
Super User Montanaro Posted September 3, 2015 Super User Posted September 3, 2015 For reference the woman who won BASS a couple years ago didn't follow bass fishing and just guessed. I do some research but I don't spin myself out. 1 Quote
jhoffman Posted September 8, 2015 Author Posted September 8, 2015 I think BASS makes it a little easier to just guess too, with five brackets you can pick one guy in every one without any need to run numbers much. With that said in FLW you could guess your way to the top, but you'd have to be very lucky with a $200 salary cap. To balance the team correctly you must look, otherwise youll have a couple of guys who are heavy hitters career wise and none of the up and comers. Its pretty hard to predict fishing and performance on it, id say the odds have to be worse than any other fantasy sport. Hunting has or had one, I havent played in a few years and that one was almost as impossible. People hunting africa could have early points, people drawing a sheep tag and filling it could have major points. I gave up on that one after year one. Quote
jhoffman Posted September 10, 2015 Author Posted September 10, 2015 The big dog already has 3/4 of the stuff headed to me, I cant wait to lay it all out lol. Im getting a 51 series chronarch, cant wait to try that. Quote
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