According to this article McGwire's election to the HoF isn't looking good.
BASEBALL HALL OF FAME | Numbers low in poll of voters
Outlook dim for McGwire
For one glorious summer, Mark McGwire was bigger than baseball itself. America stopped to watch each time he came to the plate and cheered every time he sent a ball into orbit.
He could do no wrong, it seemed. Surely he would be a shoo-in for the Hall of Fame someday.
And then came that day on Capitol Hill. Over and over, he was asked about possible steroid use, and his reputation took hit after hit as he refused to answer, saying he wouldn't talk about his past.
Now, with Hall of Fame ballots in the mail, McGwire's path to baseball immortality may have hit a huge ro***.
The Associated Press surveyed about 20 percent of eligible voters, and only one in four who gave an opinion plan to vote for McGwire this year. That's far short of the 75 percent necessary to gain induction.
In fact, that total would put McGwire, for all his 583 career home runs, closer to the 5 percent needed just to stay on future ballots.
There is a clause on the ballot indicating that character should be considered, and after his nonperformance at the congressional hearings his character certainly comes into play, said the Dayton Daily News' Hal McCoy.
He doesn't want to talk about the past? Then I don't want to consider his past.
McGwire, Cal Ripken Jr. and Tony Gwynn headline the ballot that was released Monday. Results will be announced in early January.
Mark fits the criteria, just like everyone else, Hall chairwoman Jane Forbes Clark said.
The ballot says a player's record of achievement, contributions to the teams, the game, their character, longevity and sportsmanship should be considered. I think this year's balloting will be interesting.
The AP contacted 125 of the approximately 575 present or former members of the Baseball Writers' Association of America who are eligible to cast ballots. Just 23 said they would vote for McGwire.
That means if all the undecideds and those refusing to say voted for McGwire, and everyone else voted, McGwire would need 84 percent of the rest to get into the Hall.
Big Mac voting
Results of a survey conducted by The Associated Press among eligible baseball Hall of Fame voters on whether they plan to vote for Mark McGwire on the upcoming ballot. Of the 125 voters contacted, 97 gave an opinion:
Yes: 23
No: 74
Undecided: 16
Not allowed to vote by their employers: 5
Won't say: 5
Won't vote: 2