I'm probably in the minority here, but my thoughts are actually contrarian to most on this subject. I actually leave all of my tackle variety at home. The first key is dialing into the solunar prime windows and adjusting for pre-fontal or post-frontal conditions. Once you've done that, then you have a window of opportunity to dial into a specific pattern. For me, fishing out of a kayak helps me simplify this lure selection process. I take one tackle tray and 3-4 individual bags of soft plastics plus one small tackle tray for terminal tackle. That's it.
In my opinion, the majority of your fishing lures (minus big swimbaits obviously or unique lures) will fit into a 3600 -3700 tackle tray. My current tackle tray of choice for a one day outing is a Plano waterproof series with removal long dividers to create a single large area on the right hand side, and the section of the left hand side into smaller compartments using the provided dividers. The tray contains the following:
1. 3 lipless cranks (1 each in shad, gold shiner and red/orange craw) - no need to carry billed cranks that waste space in the tray.
2. 4 skirted jigs - (2 each of black/blue, brown/orange)
3. 3 spinnerbaits (1 each in white/chartreuse, bull bream/bluegill and a sexy shad variant)
4. 3 jerkbaits (1 each in silver, gold and a shad pattern)
5. 2 buzzbaits (1 in black and 1 in white)
6. Inline spinnerbaits - (Rooster Tails in white/silver blade, black/silver blade, chartreuse/chartreuse blade and perch/trout color.
7. Soft plastics (1 bag each: black/blue or okechobee craw, a white tube, a lizard, shad/pearl fluke, senko and a curly tail grub)
8. Topwater - a couple hollow bodied frogs and a few Ribbits (watermelon pearl, black and brown/orange) and a spook.
My small terminal tackle box has 6 slots that I segregate to accommodate: shakey heads, EWGs in 2-3 sizes, wacky hooks, keel weighted swimbait hooks. The EWG hooks perform double duty as fluke hooks as well as frog hooks. The keel weighted swimbait hooks do the same only for flukes and lizards or stick baits. The wacky hooks perform triple duty for flukes, stick baits and tubes.
That's it! Simple and to the point. If I can't catch fish on one of those items, then it just isn't my day. If you take more than that, you might find yourself spending more time second guessing you approach and switching constantly. When I head out, I have three rods pre-rigged: one topwater, one bottom bouncer and one mid-column. That usually equates to: a Ribbit, a shakey head and lipless crank or spinnerbait.
8 out of 10 times I head out, I never need to deviate from one of those presentations. Your area may vary, and your tackle selection may vary as well depending upon which area of the country you are in, but the general concept still applies and should be considered the next time you head out.
For the record, if anyone doubts the impact of the solunar tables, just make a mental note next time during deer season of when the prime feeding hours are for deer and then go home and check the solunar tables. You'll find that their feeding windows adjust daily and coincide with those time frames. Fish behave in the same manner.